根据末敏弹作用原理和对集群目标“点面”结合的攻击特性,利用地面火炮射击效力分析方法,以命中概率、毁伤概率、期望毁伤目标数、耗弹量为评价指标,建立了末敏弹对集群目标射击效力评估的解析模型。与“蒙特卡罗”法评估模型比较,该模型既可保证评估精度,又可满足快速性要求,可用于火控、指挥系统等实时性要求较高系统中对末敏弹射击效力的评估。

According to operational principle of a terminal sensing ammunition(TSA) and attack characteristics with "pinpoint and spread area" combination against group target, utilizing analytical method of firing effectiveness and using hit probability, damage probability, expected number of damaged targets, rounds consumption as evaluation indicator, then building a kind of an analytical model on firing effectiveness evaluation of a TSA against group armored target. By comparing with Monte Carlo method, the model ensures both evaluating accuracy and requirements of fast, and it can usually be used to evaluate firing effectiveness of a TSA in fire control system and command system with high requiring real-time.