单发防空导弹杀伤概率是指导弹发射到爆炸这一过程命中目标的概率。为分析总体防空过程,提出了总体防空导弹杀伤概率的概念。通过对整个防空作战过程的分析,对前两个功能模型进行了改进。并引入雷达影响误差的概念,将防空过程的四个功能模型相连接。从而给出总体单发防空导弹杀伤概率表达式,并以实例仿真计算验证模型。

The kill probability of single air defense missile depends on the process from launching to blasting when the missile hits the target. To analyze the collectivity process of air defense, the collectivity probability of air defense missile was presented in this paper. Two functional models included in the process of air defense operation were improved. In order to joint the four functional models, the concept of radar influential error was found. Then, the collectivity expression of kill probability for missile was extracted. Finally, an example which simulated computation of kill probability for missile was taken.