为准确计算定向含能动能杆战斗部对战术弹道导弹(TBM)的毁伤概率,完成战斗部作战效能评估,文中在分析传统毁伤概率计算方法误差率大、精确率较低的基础上,把动能杆的毁伤能量分为冲击波产生的能量、杆条剩余动能和含能材料化学能,建立基于能量比的毁伤概率计算模型。以假定条件下的M39导弹为TBM目标进行计算,结果验证了模型的合理性与可信性,为毁伤概率计算提供了一种方法和技术手段。

In order to accurately calculate the damage probability of directional energetic KE-rod warhead to tactical ballistic missile (TBM) and complete combat effectiveness evaluation of warhead, on the basis of the analysis of the big error rate and low accuracy of traditional damage probability calculation method, the damage energy of the kinetic rod was divided into the energy generated by the shock wave, residual kinetic energy of rod and the chemical energy of energetic material, and the damage probability calculation model based on energy ratio was established. Under the assumption, the paper choosed M39 missile as TBM target to calculate damage probability. The results verified the rationality and credibility of the model, and it provided a method and technical means for damage probability calculation.