为计算航空自导深弹命中概率,在自导深弹纵平面内空中弹道和不同导引控制规律下水下弹道数学模型的基础上,建立了单枚深弹与连投方式下自导深弹的命中目标的判定数学模型,利用蒙特卡洛法通过Matlab/Simulink软件对单枚自导深弹的命中概率和连投工作方式下自导深弹的命中概率进行了计算,仿真结果表明:与传统无自导功能的深弹相比较,单枚自导深弹对浅水区的目标命中概率提高较为显著,连投攻击方式下自导深弹对深水区的目标仍能保持较大的命中概率。

In order to calculate the hitting probability of aerial homing-depth charge based on the aerial trajectory and underwater trajectory with different control orderliness models of longitudinal trajectory for the parachute and charge system, the determinant model of single charge and a couple of charges was established. The Matlab/Simulink was used to carry on simulation research for single charge and a couple of charges. The simulation result shows that the hitting probability of single aerial homing-depth charge is much enhanced when the target is moving in the shallow sea. The hitting probability of a couple of homing-depth charges is also enhanced in opposition to the targets moving in the deep sea.