为即时的准确的预测弹丸落点,文中建立了基于质心弹道模型的卡尔曼滤波状态方程,利用衰减记忆法扩展卡尔曼滤波递推算法估计方程中的未知参数和风偏因素,并利用其估计参数外推出外弹道落点。利用某型号迫弹卫星虚拟导引装置的测量数据进行验算,其未知系数迅速收敛至真值,同时实现了对风偏的准确拟合。研究发现其卡尔曼滤波算法对弹丸落点预测具有精度高、运算速度快等优点,适宜于工程应用。

In order to predict the impact point precisely and instantly, the state equation of Kalman filtering, based on the centroid ballistic model, has been built in the paper. By making using of memory attenuated extended Kalman filtering, unknown parameters and wind de-flection in the state equation were estimated, which were used to extrapolate the impact point. As the result of checking with the real data of satellite seeker, the drag acceleration coefficient could be converged rapidly and the influence of wind deflection could also be simulated. What's more, the kalman filtering algorithm for impact point prediction has less computational cost and is more accurate and simpler for application in engineering.