为了研究云爆弹对目标区域内目标的杀伤概率、估算云爆弹的杀伤范围和分析散布均方差对毁伤概率的影响,文中建立了云爆弹效能评估数学模型。通过结合模型针对某云爆弹的算例表明,目标瞄准点处杀伤概率最大,最大值约为7.8%;杀伤范围为:-300m≤x≤600m,-500m≤Z≤800m,研究表明该模型可以为云爆弹战场杀伤评估提供依据,散布均方差是影响云爆弹杀伤效能的主要因素。

In order to research the damage probability of FAE for targets in target area, the damage range was estimated, and the effect of dispersion variance on damage efficiency was analyzed, a mathematical model of effectiveness evaluation was built. According to the model,an example indicates that the damage probability of target area is the highest,the maximum is 7.8%, and the damage range is -300 m≤x≤600m,-500m≤Z≤800m. The results show that this model can provide the basis for battlefield damage assessment, the major effect factor of damage efficiency is dispersion variance.