为了准确分析在云、雨、雾等气象条件下,DSP卫星对弹道导弹探测概率的变化规律,文中通过分析DSP预警卫星系统覆盖范围以及对弹道导弹的探测能力,仿真计算了不同观测角下卫星探测概率随降雨强度的变化关系,以及相同降雨强度下导弹主动段飞行时间对DSP卫星探测概率的影响规律,并在此基础上提出了合理利用气象条件以提高弹道导弹主动段的突防能力的相关对策。

In order to precisely analyze relevant regularities and rules about how detecting probability of ballistic missile is affected by a DSP satellite under some special meteorological conditions including cloud, rain and frog, by analyzing covering range and ballistic missile detection capability of DSP satellite system, and through simulating calculations, the essay obtains with different angles of observation, how the satellite detection probability varies with strength of the precipitation, and the law of impact of the missile's flight time in active section upon DSP satellite's detection probability under the same precipitation strength, and based on the above calculations, some recommendations are given on how to make use of meteorological conditions properly so as to enhance defense penetration capability of ballistic missile in its active section.