为实现防空火箭弹对抗无人机的杀伤效益最大化,提出了一种评估火箭弹最佳引爆距离的方法。文中分析了无人机的易损性、易受攻击性以及火箭弹破片散布误差,以无人机易损区参考坐标系为基础建立了杀伤概率数学模型,得到了杀伤概率随着爆炸距离等参数变化的规律。仿真计算结果表明,此评估模型能够得到火箭弹最佳引爆区间,实现对无人机最大杀伤。

For studying on the maximum damage probability of anti-UAV by air defense rocket with an optimal detonation distance, new probability models were developed to examine the potential lethality. UAV's vulnerability, susceptibility and penetrator spray error were analyzed, and damage probability assessment model was constructed via a vulnerability area reference coordinate system. The result shows that these models are used to determine the detonation distance which maximizes the probability that a single hypervelocity rocket kills a UAV. Data produced in this study provides an optimal detonation distance for fire control system.