0 引言
1 自适应敏感性分析方法
2 弹体碰撞分析
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表1 模型参数的不确定范围Table 1 Uncertainty ranges for model parameters |
| Case | E/MPa | ρ/(g/cm3) | ν | κ | G/MPa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | [500, 1 500] | 10 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 384.62 |
| C2 | 1 000 | [5, 15] | 0.3 | 2.8 | 384.62 |
表2 4种算法的概率统计量和评价指标对比(方案1)Table 2 Comparison of probability statistics and evaluation metrics for 4 algorithms (C1) |
| Algorithm | μ/J | σ/J | CV/% | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCs | 57.948 | 30.659 2 | — | — |
| GPR | 57.948 | 31.426 0 | 5.373 2 | 0.954 5 |
| DT | 57.948 | 33.327 9 | 7.157 7 | 0.908 3 |
| sPCE | 57.948 | 30.656 0 | 1.796 7 | 0.998 8 |
表3 4种算法的概率统计量和评价指标对比(方案2)Table 3 Comparison of probability statistics and evaluation metrics for 4 algorithms (C2) |
| Algorithm | μ/J | σ/J | CV/% | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCs | 53.932 | 13.241 7 | — | — |
| GPR | 53.932 | 13.978 2 | 6.871 2 | 0.923 6 |
| DT | 53.932 | 14.647 5 | 7.346 5 | 0.902 4 |
| sPCE | 53.932 | 13.241 1 | 3.778 2 | 0.984 5 |
3 弹体侵彻分析
表4 AISI 52-100铬钢材料模型参数Table 4 AISI 52-100 chromium steel material model parameters |
| E/MPa | ρ/(g/cm3) | ν | G/MPa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 000 | 0.007 85 | 0.3 | 7 692.31 |
表5 6061-T6铝材料模型参数Table 5 6061-T6 aluminum material model parameters |
| E/MPa | ρ/(g/cm3) | ν | κ | G/MPa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 782 000 | 0.002 7 | 0.3 | 7 218.43 | 30 076.92 |
表6 4种算法的时间成本和评价指标对比Table 6 Comparison of time costs and evaluation metrics for 4 algorithms |
| Algorithm | Tpre/s | Ttot/s | CV/% | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCs | — | 172 350 | — | — |
| GPR | 3.45 | 34 473.45 | 7.26 | 0.969 |
| DT | 4.79 | 34 474.79 | 6.39 | 0.971 |
| sPCE | 3.27 | 34 473.27 | 1.74 | 0.997 |